Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.000962 0.001103 0.001246 0.001401 0.001564 0.001729 0.001909
2025-08-17 0.000726 0.000925 0.001134 0.001368 0.001621 0.001882 0.002173
2025-08-24 0.000508 0.000738 0.000992 0.001284 0.001609 0.001952 0.002340
2025-08-31 0.000376 0.000629 0.000921 0.001269 0.001662 0.002086 0.002572
2025-09-07 0.000286 0.000557 0.000884 0.001284 0.001745 0.002249 0.002831
2025-09-14 0.000190 0.000461 0.000809 0.001248 0.001766 0.002338 0.003006
2025-09-21 0.000138 0.000415 0.000788 0.001272 0.001851 0.002497 0.003256
2025-09-28 0.000109 0.000395 0.000798 0.001331 0.001974 0.002698 0.003551
2025-10-05 0.000068 0.000345 0.000763 0.001332 0.002027 0.002815 0.003751
2025-10-12 0.000042 0.000312 0.000749 0.001355 0.002104 0.002959 0.003980
2025-10-19 0.000016 0.000262 0.000704 0.001336 0.002128 0.003041 0.004136
2025-10-26 0.000002 0.000223 0.000671 0.001329 0.002165 0.003135 0.004304
2025-11-02 NaN 0.000143 0.000575 0.001251 0.002135 0.003176 0.004441
2025-11-09 NaN 0.000093 0.000516 0.001220 0.002162 0.003284 0.004658
2025-11-16 NaN 0.000041 0.000427 0.001141 0.002125 0.003315 0.004786
2025-11-23 NaN 0.000018 0.000386 0.001126 0.002168 0.003442 0.005025
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000006 0.000366 0.001140 0.002250 0.003613 0.005316
2025-12-07 NaN NaN 0.000319 0.001107 0.002264 0.003703 0.005509
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.000307 0.001129 0.002353 0.003882 0.005808
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.000315 0.001186 0.002487 0.004117 0.006171
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.000292 0.001186 0.002544 0.004255 0.006418
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.000282 0.001208 0.002630 0.004427 0.006706
2026-01-11 NaN NaN 0.000252 0.001190 0.002658 0.004528 0.006908